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How long is this going to take? (UK & ventilators)

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Ronen E

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#12
It's probably no use saying, but it's very important to not confuse trust-able facts from rumors, opinions and estimates. We can still use our rational facilities. What do we actually know?

There's the COVID-19 pandemic and apparently there's also the PANIC-20 pandemic.
 

Watchcat

Trusted Information Resource
#13
I usually try to work from the assumption that I don't know anything. However, if I want to give myself a break, then I "know" that the CDC's website indicates that, as of 4 PM yesterday, 10,442 confirmed and presumptive positive cases of COVID-19 had been reported to CDC or tested at CDC since January 21, 2020, with the exception of testing results for persons repatriated to the United States from Wuhan, China and Japan, The website also indicates that there have been 150 coronavirus deaths in the US.

How many cases and deaths there have actually been, I don't know, and I have no way of ever knowing.

I think the coronavirus pandemic has thus far been an exercise in decision-making in the face of much uncertainty. I think that, while the COVID-19 pandemic has been spreading quickly through the population, the PANIC-20 pandemic (well said!) has been spreading much more quickly through the internet.

I think something always rushes in to fill a void. In this case, the void can be filled with panic, denial. or information. I prefer information.
 
#14
This is indeed the worrying point. The hospital near to my house has been facing shortage of ventilators and now yesterday they got around 50 ventiltors. Things are not looking good in manchester.
 

Watchcat

Trusted Information Resource
#15
Things are not looking good in manchester.
Forbes article says Dyson is not going to be delivering ventilators any time real soon, and BBC says MHRA has not approved any of the ventilators under consideration, including Dyson's. Do you know any more about this?

North Carolina has nearly 3,000 ventilators, with 550-750 not in use from day to day. Our first case was confirmed March 3, about a week after Italy and a couple of days after New York. Our curve has been flattening very slowly and started flattening early on, before any social distancing or other measures were in effect. Percent increase from day to day has been mostly in the single digits for over a week.
 
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