Hi mlo. I'm not sure I completely follow the question, but hopefully this help.
ISO 14971 defines Risk as "
The combination of the
probability of occurrence of harm and the
severity of that harm." The idea is that companies should know which Harms their medical device could cause, and be able to describe both the severity of the harm and the probability of the harm. This allows the companies to determine whether the overall risk of that harm is acceptable (based on their pre-defined risk acceptability criteria).
For each Harm, companies are required to document the Hazards that can cause the Harms, and the Hazardous Situations in which those Hazards may be present.
Companies often assign a 1 to 3, 1 to 5, or 1 to 10 numerical value to different Severity rankings and Probability rankings, and multiply the two values to get an overall Risk Rating, which can then be compared against a risk acceptability matrix to evaluate the acceptability of the Risk.
FMEA is quite different in terms of its overall purpose. As the name implies, a Failure Mode & Effects Analysis is a tool for understanding how the device or process may fail (the failure mode), the reason why it failed (failure cause), and the effect of the failure on both the immediate process/device feature, and the overall device performance.
FMEA is similar to a device-level, harms-focused, 14971 risk assessment, in that it oftentimes has a calculation in it that is a combination of severity and probability. But as you alluded to, the probability in an FMEA is oftentimes the
probability that a particular failure mode will occur. As with a 14971 risk assessment, the Severity in a FMEA is oftentimes associated with the end-effect of the failure - that is, the impact of the failure on users/patients/the environment.
This calculated value is often called a Risk Priority Number (RPN). It is the combination of the
probability of a failure mode occurring and the
severity of the end-effect of the failure.
RPN and 14791 "Risks" are common in that they are a combination or probability and severity, but they must not be confused with each other.
If you do not already have it, I highly recommend purchasing ISO TR 24971, the guidance document that accompanies 14971. It is incredibly valuable for understanding these concepts.