Sorry I have not replied to a couple of the questions regarding ISO numbers, which I seem to be fascinated with. Some of the answers have arleady been answered by others anyway. In the past few days I have been trying to find out some background to these numbers, and this is what I have found.
The ISO numbers are dependant on certification companies in each country submitting their figures in to ISO every year. As this is a voluntary process some of the data has to be seen as not accurate. This is especially true of withdrawn certificates, as certification companies are reluctant to submit this data as it can be seen as 'embarassing' information on their performance. However, the overall numbers of ISO registrations can be taken as indicating a trend.
To answer a question on the numbers, they represent total registrations that certification companies have on their books.
To answer another question regarding saturation; ISO 9000 has been designed to cover many operating organisations, including service. It can also be used in SMEs. So for saturation then the base of ISO certificates should represent a substantial % of businesses with greater than 50 people. In reality this is not the case.
The increase in foreign registrations appears to be due to the global bodies like the EU, UNIDO, and WTO. They are pushing ISO 9000 as a method where customers can distinguish supplier quality. That seems to be why China, Romania and others are increasing at a crazy rate - market coercion. Foreign businesses are not in a good position to evaluate ISO 9000 as it is new to them. Some national governments are providing funding for certification, and provide consultants, training, etc. In some cases some industries have targets to implement ISO 9000 in a % of total companies.
Peter Fraser, I read your post, but I am not sure as to the argument that UKAS was expecting a reduction in ISO 9000 certificates. It seems like to me that they were hedging their bets and predicting a reduction.
Greg B, from what Carl Keller found was that the US figures are only higher if the 1994 and 2000 versions are taken together. I must say the marked difference in figures is puzzling, and seems to point to a discrepancy so that the true figure may be lower. So I would not imagine the Auto or Automotive industries have anything to do with an increase. Especially with TS 16949 and others actually decreasing the ISO 9000 figures.
John Seddon has released a press release on the latest ISO figures. As the release includes some graphs I cannot paste it here, ask for the press release at this email address if anyone is interested
[email protected]
And John's battle against ISO 9000
http://www.lean-service.com/3.asp
Carl Keller, I have to say I agree, it may be up to us to instigate and demand change but at a greater level. It seems that ISO as an organisation is not up to looking at the standard, the market place, the registrars, and the clients from the viewpoint that we have. I would also say that we need a radical rethink and reassessment of what happens in the future? One thing that will fail is if we do nothing. And I don't just suggest some campaign to keep ISO 9000, but what does industry need and what can we provide?
Ilias