Numbers can lie too and be deceiving

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Charmed

Dear Covers:

The golf world is now abuzz with the news of Vijay Singh breaking the single season winning record, set by Tiger Woods in 2000.

(broken link removed)

According to the Associated Press story, Singh's eighth championship this year pushed his earnings to $9,455,566 in 26 events, surpassing the $9,188,321 Woods made while winning nine times in 20 events in 2000. With Singh expecting to play four more times, he could become the first to win $10 million in one year.

Did Vijay Singh really surpass Tiger Woods' single season winnings in 2000? A careful examination of Tiger's winnings in the 2000 season and Vijay's YTD winnings in the 2004 season shows that Vijay is at least $758,893 short.

Numbers can lie too and can actually be quite deceiving. The shortfall comes about from the difference in the prize money awarded to winners between 2000 and 2004. For example, just look at the following prize money figures.

1. Vijay's take for his win at the AT&T Pebble Beach event was $954,000 but Tiger's take for winning the same event was only $720,000 in 2000.

2. Both Tiger and Vijay won the PGA championship, but Vijay's prize money was $1,125,000 but Tiger's was only $900,000.

3. Likewise, both won the Bell Canadian Open, but Vijay got $810,000 while Tiger got $594,000.

4. The higher prize money awarded in 2004 is also reflected in the higher prize money that Vijay got for finishing No. 2 at the Mercedes Champioship (Tiger finished No. 1) and No. 6 at the Masters (Tiger finished No. 5). The difference in prize money was $78,000 for Mercedes and $5,893 for the Masters.

Add all this up and Vijay Singh had an advantage of $758,893 due to the higher purses in just these five events. I have not tried to factor how the difference in their finishes affected the winnings in the other tournaments where both played.

I just thought this might be of interest not just to the golf fans here but to others as well who have treated to Steve's interesting articles on Lies, ****ed Lies and Statistics.

I am a great fan of Mr. Singh, let there be no doubt. The purpose here is not to diminish in anyway Vijay Singh's superior performance this season (8 wins and securing No. 1 spot in the World Golf Ranking, replacing Tiger Woods after nearly five years), but merely to put the figures for the winnings in perspective. According to my reckoning, Vijay must produce at least one more win to beat Tiger's single season winning record.

Even without statistics, numbers can clearly lie! With my warmest regards.

Charmed

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Tiger Woods 2000 winnings are from the following Official Website

(broken link removed)

Vijay Singh's 2004 winnings are from ESPN's website.

(broken link removed)
 
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"There is no true value" - Dr. Deming

It all depends on you define the measure. Battling operational definitions are often called "lies" (of course, it is always the other person that is lieing) and are one of the most frequent sources of stress (and fear) related to numbers that I see.

Numbers don't lie, people do . . .
 
I guess I don't see it as a lie - but a matter of "operational definition."

He is the highest single season dollar winner.

Another definition - best golfer - may use another statistic. (Most wins, etc)
 
Another view point

I's always a question of how do you measure something fairly - as Steve suggested, defining the measure is important and it should probably be done up front. For comparison of revenue streams over time, I'd probably look at using constant dollars as being the best/fairest comparison (the MBA is coming out :) . Using the Inflation calculator from the US Dept. of Labor, $1 in 2000 is equal to $1.10 in 2004. So, based on that Tiger's $9,188,321 from 2000 is equal to $10,107,153 in 2004.

Which to me means they are both very good golfers, and not being a golf/televised sports fan doesn't mean a whole lot more, except if you decide to measure using constant dollars, then Tiger currently wins.
 
Another thought is - why are we trying to rank these two golfers? Certainly both are statistical outliers from the general population of golfers :agree1:
 
Well how about other sports.
Who is the home run king? (homeruns in a single season or homeruns vs. # of games played). Who is the most prolific rusher in football (# of yards gained in career or number of yards gained vs. # of games played). do we need asterisk's for the golfers? :rolleyes:
 
:applause:
Steve Prevette said:
Another thought is - why are we trying to rank these two golfers? Certainly both are statistical outliers from the general population of golfers :agree1:
:applause:

Right - the rest of us are ranked by our handicap - the great equalizer!
 
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