We always have to consider the "State of the art": at least here you have to reach a residual risk level that fullfills goals.
This is where your risk acceptability criteria should fall into place.
This is what determines whether the verified residual risk meets your state of the art, which is one of the factors that go into your criteria.
Placing an additional "expected" value on your residual risk levels sets you up for unnecessary failure, if your actual residual risk still meets your acceptability criteria.
You can estimate the residual risk prior to verifying it, as a part of your process, if you think it will serve your goals.